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US demand to rise 5.5% per annum through 2009

The US market for polymerization catalysts is forecast to grow 5.5 percent per year to $1.1 billion in 2009, advancing from a relatively weak base. Demand will be driven by increased polymer production and expanded use of more sophisticated catalysts. Growth will be particularly strong in organometallic materials (Ziegler/Natta and single-site catalysts) used to produce high volume polyolefins, while chemicalbased reaction initiators trail overall gains.

Higher activity, higher value polymerization catalysts will continue to increase their presence in the market. Metallocene and other singlesite catalysts yield resins which have improved performance characteristics. In particular, the use of single-site catalysts is expanding in the production of polypropylene and high density polyethylene, although the bulk of demand will remain in linear low density polyethylene.

Ziegler/Natta types to remain dominant

Ziegler/Natta catalysts, the workhorse products of the industry, will continue to be the dominant catalysts in use, due to their cost effectiveness, established technology base and the ongoing development of improved products. This will allow Ziegler/Natta materials to remain competitive, even in the face of competition from new single-site catalysts.

Demand for reaction initiators (chemical catalysts such as organic peroxides and amines) will register below-average gains through 2009. This will derive from comparatively weak growth in production for several polymers, such as low density polyethylene and polystyrene. In addition, price competition is expected to hold down overall value gains.

Study coverage

Polymerization Catalysts, a new Freedonia industry study, which presents historical US demand data 1994, 1999, 2004) plus forecasts to 2009 and 2014 by polymerization catalyst type e.g., Ziegler/Natta, reaction initiators, chromium, urethane, single-site); and by resin (e.g., polypropylene, high-density polyethylene, linear low density polyethylene, low density polyethylene, synthetic rubber). The study also discusses captive versus market consumption, technological issues and licensing activity; evaluates supplier market share; and profiles leading companies.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION

I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT

General

Macroeconomic Overview

Demographic Trends

Consumer Spending Trends

Manufacturing Trends

Plastics Industry Overview

Rubber Industry Overview

Thermoplastic Elastomer Industry Overview

Catalyst Industry Overview

Historical Trends

Pricing Trends

Environmental & Regulatory Trends

Foreign Trade

International Activity

III. OVERVIEW

General

Merchant Market Demand

Captive Demand

Demand by Formulation

Organometallic Catalysts

Chemical Catalysts

Metal Catalysts

IV. DEMAND BY TYPE

General

Ziegler/Natta Catalysts

Ziegler/Natta Catalyst Demand

Conventional Ziegler/Natta Catalysts

Advanced Ziegler/Natta Catalysts

Ziegler/Natta Catalyst Producers

Reaction Initiators

Reaction Initiators Demand

Reaction Initiator Producers

Urethane Catalysts

Urethane Catalysts Demand

Urethane Catalyst Producers

Chromium Catalysts

Chromium Catalysts Demand

Chromium Catalyst Producers

Single-Site Catalysts

Single-Site Catalyst Demand

Single-Site Catalyst Producers

Other Polymerization Catalysts

Other Polymerization Catalyst Demand

Other Polymerization Catalyst Producers

V. DEMAND BY RESIN

General

Polyolefins

Polypropylene: Overview

Polypropylene: Technology & Producers

Polypropylene: Catalyst Demand

High Density Polyethylene: Overview

High Density Polyethylene: Technology & Producers

High Density Polyethylene: Catalyst Demand

Linear Low Density Polyethylene: Overview

Linear Low Density Polyethylene: Technology &

Producers

Linear Low Density Polyethylene: Catalyst Demand

Low Density Polyethylene: Overview

Low Density Polyethylene: Technology & Producers

Low Density Polyethylene: Catalyst Demand

Other Plastics: Overview

Other Plastics: Technology & Producers

Other Plastics: Catalyst Demand

Synthetic Rubber & Other Elastomers

Synthetic Rubber

Other Elastomers

VI. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

General

Market Share

Akzo Nobel

WR Grace

BP

Albemarle

Other Leaders

Industry Restructuring

Cooperative Agreements

Licensing Agreements

Joint Ventures

Other Cooperative Agreements

Research & Development

Competitive Strategies

Manufacturing

Marketing & Distribution

COMPANY PROFILES

Air Products and Chemicals Incorporated

Akzo Nobel NV

Albemarle Corporation

Arkema, see Total

Atofina SA, see Total

Basell NV

BASF AG

Borealis A/S

BP plc

Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLC

CPChem, see Chevron Phillips Chemical

Crompton Corporation

Degussa AG

Dow Chemical Company

DuPont (EI) de Nemours

DuPont Dow Elastomers LLC

Eastman Chemical Company

Engelhard Corporation

Equistar Chemicals LP, see Lyondell Chemical

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Formosa Plastics Group

Grace (WR) & Company

Huntsman Corporation

Innovene, see BP

Johnson Matthey plc

Lyondell Chemical Company

NOVA Chemicals Corporation

Novolen Technology Holdings CV, see Lyondell Chemical

OM Group Incorporated

PQ Corporation

Peroxid-Chemie, see Degussa

Solvay SA

Sunoco Incorporated

Total SA

Univation Technologies LLC

Westlake Chemical Corporation

Other Companies Mentioned in Study

LIST OF TABLES

SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Summary Table

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT

1 Macroeconomic Indicators

2 Demographic Indicators

3 Consumer Spending Activity

4 Manufacturers  Shipments

5 Plastic Resin Supply & Demand

6 Rubber Supply & Demand

7 Thermoplastic Elastomer Supply & Demand

8 Process Catalysts Demand

9 Polymerization Catalyst Historical Trends, 1994-2004

10 Polymerization Catalyst Pricing Trends

SECTION III -- OVERVIEW

1 Polymerization Catalyst Supply & Demand

2 Merchant Market Demand for Polymerization Catalysts

3 Captive Polymerization Catalyst Demand

4 Polymerization Catalyst Demand by Formulation

5 Organometallic Catalyst Demand

6 Chemical Catalyst Demand

7 Metal Catalyst Demand

SECTION IV -- DEMAND BY TYPE

1 Polymerization Catalyst Demand by Type

2 Ziegler/Natta Catalyst Demand

3 Reaction Initiator Demand

4 Urethane Catalyst Demand

5 Chromium Catalyst Demand

6 Single-Site Catalyst Demand

7 Other Polymerization Catalyst Demand

SECTION V -- DEMAND BY RESIN

1 Polymerization Catalyst Demand by Resin

2 Polyolefin Demand for Polymerization Catalysts

3 Polypropylene Supply & Demand

4 Polypropylene Demand for Catalysts

5 High Density Polyethylene Supply & Demand

6 High Density Polyethylene Demand for Catalysts

7 Linear Low Density Polyethylene Supply & Demand

8 Linear Low Density Polyethylene Demand for Catalysts

9 Low Density Polyethylene Supply & Demand

10 Low Density Polyethylene Demand for Catalysts

11 Other Plastics Supply & Demand

12 Other Plastics Demand for Polymerization Catalysts

13 Synthetic Rubber & Other Elastomers Demand for Catalysts

14 Synthetic Rubber Demand for Catalysts

15 Other Elastomers Demand for Catalysts

SECTION VI -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

1 US Polymerization Catalyst Sales by Company, 2004

2 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures

3 Selected Licensing Agreements

4 Selected Polymerization Process Joint Venture Agreements

5 Other Cooperative Agreements

LIST OF CHARTS

SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT

1 Polymerization Catalyst Historical Trends, 1994-2004

2 World Polymerization Catalyst Demand by Region, 2004

SECTION III -- OVERVIEW

1 Polymerization Catalyst Demand by Formulation, 2004

SECTION IV -- DEMAND BY TYPE

1 Polymerization Catalyst Demand by Type, 2004

SECTION V -- DEMAND BY RESIN

1 Polymerization Catalyst Demand by Resin, 2004

2 Polyolefin Demand for Polymerization Catalysts, 2004

SECTION VI -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

1 Polymerization Catalyst Market Share, 2004