現行と新規技術ベースによる太陽電池＆関連マテリアル市場の現状と将来展望

Abstract

Introduction

This research report reviews the current status of the worldwide solar cell industry, market size, market share, and forecast for the next ten years. It also includes in-depth research on new emerging technologies, major players and future roadmap (beyond 2015). This study includes profiles of 15 major companies, 4 research ventures, and 4 research institutes & universities from major geographical locations. A section is dedicated to emerging solar cell materials.

In 2006, the worldwide solar photovoltaic industry reached a consolidated figure of 2.1GW*, representing an annual growth of 30 percent. Emerging technologies represented about 0.22GW worldwide. The solar cell market based on new emerging technologies is estimated to increase tremendously over the next 10 years at an AAGR of 43.1 percent capturing more than 13 percent of the total market share (in MW capacity). The enormous growth rate of emerging technologies is attributed to the demand for non-silicon based solar cells, higher efficiency, cost reduction, and overall awareness of extracting energy from alternative sources such as wind, solar, biomass and other natural sources.

At present, the photovoltaic industry is in the process of leaving its infancy and becoming a fully-fledged mass-producing industry. Currently, the market is dominated by solar cells based on mono and multi-crystalline silicon technologies.

The new emerging solar cell technologies discussed in this report are Thin-film Amorphous, Dye-sensitized cells, Organic & Polymer, Nano-crystalline, and other Thin-film technologies such as Cadmium Telluride, Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide (CIGS), Copper Indium Diselenide (CIS), and Gallium Arsnide (GaAs).

In this report, while we are covering the solar cell market based on the current technologies, we particularly focus on the new emerging technologies and related materials, and pursuing the market trends from a global perspective. To be more precise:

• 1) Current and Emerging Technologies Based Solar Cell Market Demand Forecast (MW & Revenue), 2006~2015
• 2) Current and Emerging Technologies Based Solar Cell Market Share Forecast, 2006~2015
• 3) Current Technologies Based Solar Cell Market and Share Forecast by Region, 2006~2011
• 4) Solar Cell Market Demand and Share Forecast by Technology (Both Current and Emerging Technologies), 2006~2015

• 1) Emerging Technology Based Solar Cell Related Material Market Demand Forecast, 2006~2015
• 2) Emerging Technologies Based Solar Cell Related Material Breakdowns Market Demand Forecast, 2006~2015

*Conversion: 1GW = 1,000MW

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

2. Worldwide Current & New Emerging Technologies Based Solar Cell Market Demand and Share Forecast

• 2.1 Worldwide Market Demand (MW)
  • Table 2-1: Worldwide Current & Emerging Market Demand in MW, 2006 - 2010
  • Figure 2-1: Worldwide Current and Emerging Market Demand in MW, 2006 - 2010
  • Table 2-2: Worldwide Current & Emerging Market Demand in MW, 2011 - 2015
  • Figure 2-2: Worldwide Current and Emerging Market Demand in MW, 2011 - 2015
• 2.2 Worldwide Market Demand and Share Forecast ($ million)
  • Table 2-3: Worldwide Current & Emerging Market Demand in $ million, 2006 - 2010
  • Figure 2-3: Worldwide Current & Emerging Market Demand in $ million, 2006 - 2010
  • Table 2-4: Worldwide Current & Emerging Market Demand in $ million, 2011 - 2015
  • Figure 2 4: Worldwide Current & Emerging Market Demand in $ million, 2011 - 2015
  • Table 2-5: Worldwide Market Share of Current & Emerging Technologies, 2006 - 2015
  • Figure 2-5: Worldwide Market Share of Current & Emerging Technologies 2006 vs. 2015
• 2.3 Current Technology Regional Market Demand Forecast(USA, Europe, Japan, Rest of the World)
  • Table 2-6: Current Technology Regional Market Demand Forecast, $ million 2006-2011
  • Table 2-7: Current Technology Regional Market Share, 2006-2011
  • Figure 2-6: Current Technology Regional Market Share Comparison, 2006 vs. 2011
• 2.4 The Value Chain of Solar Energy (Photovoltaic) Systems
  • Figure 2-7: The Value Chain of Solar Energy Systems
• 2.5 Solar Cell Technologies
  • Figure 2 8: Illustration of Current and New Emerging Solar Cell Technologies
  • 2.5.1 Mono-Crystalline Silicon
  • 2.5.2 Multi-Crystalline Silicon
  • 2.5.3 Thin-film Amorphous Silicon
  • 2.5.4 Thin-Film (Other)
  • 2.5.5 Dye-Sensitized
  • 2.5.6 Organic/Polymer Based Cells
  • 2.5.7 Nano-Crystalline
• 2.6 Worldwide Solar Cell Market Demand and Forecast by Type of Technology
  • Table 2-8: Worldwide Market Demand of Current and Emerging Technologies ($ million), 2006-2010
  • Figure 2-9: Worldwide Market Demand of Current Technologies ($ million), 2006-2010
  • Figure 2-10: Worldwide Market Demand of Emerging Technologies ($ million), 2006-2010
  • Table 2-9: Worldwide Market Demand of Current and Emerging Technologies ($ million), 2011-2015
  • Figure 2-11: Worldwide Market Demand of Current Technologies ($ million), 2011-2015
  • Figure 2-12: Worldwide Market Demand of Emerging Technologies ($ million), 2011-2015
  • Figure 2-13: Worldwide Market Share of Current & Emerging Technologies in 2006
  • Figure 2-14: Worldwide Market Share of Current & Emerging Technologies in 2015
• 2.7 Current Solar Cell Production Regional Market Share (%)
  • Table 2-10: Regional Market Share of Solar Cell Production, 2006 - 2011
  • Figure 2-15: Regional Market Share of Solar Cell Production, 2006 vs. 2011

3. New Emerging Solar Cell Developer/Vender Activities at Glance (Developer/Vender, Technology, Current Stage, Commercialization)

• 3.1 US Market
  • 3.1.1 Market Leader
  • 3.1.2 Venture Company
  • 3.1.3 Research Institute and University R&D
• 3.2 European Market
  • 3.2.1 Market Leader
  • 3.2.2 Venture Company
  • 3.2.3 Research Institute and University R&D
• 3.3 Japan & Rest of World Markets

4. New Emerging Solar Cell Material Market Forecast

• Table 4-1: Emerging Material Market Forecast in $ million, 2006-2010
• Figure 4-1: Emerging Material Market Forecast in $ million, 2006-2010
• Table 4-2: Emerging Material Market Forecast in $ million, 2011-2015
• Figure 4 2: Emerging Material Market Forecast in $ million, 2011-2015
• 4.1 New Emerging Solar Cell Material Breakdown Forecast in $ million
  • Table 4-3: New Emerging Material Breakdown Forecast in $ million, 2006 - 2010
  • Figure 4-3: New Emerging Material Breakdown Forecast, 2006 - 2010
  • Table 4-4: New Emerging Material Breakdown Forecast, 2011 - 2015
  • Figure 4-4: New Emerging Material Breakdown Forecast, 2011 - 2015
• 4.2 Research/Market Status of Materials for New Emerging Solar Cells (Material Name, Developer/vender Name, Current Stage, Commercialization)
  • Table 4-5: Research and Market Status of Materials for Emerging Technologies

5. New Emerging Solar Cell R&D Activity and Strategy

• 5.1 U.S. Company R&D
  • 5.1.1 Market Leader
    • 5.1.1.1~5.1.1.5 (Total 5)
  • 5.1.2 Venture R&D
    • 5.1.2.1~5.1.1.2 (Total 2)
  • 5.1.3 Research Institute and University R&D
    • 5.1.3.1~5.1.3.2 (Total 2)
• 5.2 E.U. Company R&D
  • 5.2.1 Market Leader
    • 5.2.1.1~5.2.1.6 (Total 6)
  • 5.2.2 Venture R&D
    • 5.2.2.1~5.2.2.2 (Total 2)
  • 5.2.3 Research Institute and University R&D
    • 5.2.3.1~5.2.3.2 (Total 2)
• 5.3 Japan
  • 5.3.1 Major Vender (Total 4)

6. Road Map of New Generation Solar Cell Technology, Commercialization and Business

• 6.1 Technology Bottle Necks and Barriers to Cross
• 6.2 Solar Cell Technology Roadmap
  • Table 6-1: Worldwide Solar Cell Production Roadmap, 2006 to 2030
  • Figure 6-1: Worldwide Solar Cell Production Roadmap, 2006 to 2030
  • 6.2.1 Current Status and Mid Term (2007 -2010)
  • 6.2.2 Long Term (2010 - 2015)
  • 6.2.3 Year 2015 and Beyond

7. Incentive Programs in the US and Germany

• 7.1 Incentives for Solar Photovoltaic Systems in the US
  • Table 7-1: Summary of Financial Incentives for Solar Photovoltaic Systems in the US.
  • Table 7-2: Continued
• 7.2 Incentives for Solar Photovoltaic in Germany
  • Table 7-3: Feed in Tariffs in Germany
• 7.3 Summary of German Solar Photovoltaic Incentive Program