欧州における観光旅行業界

Abstract

Mintel European Travel Exposure is a diverse yet detailed collection of reports examining the structure, size and dynamics of an industry experiencing constant change. The series provides a continual assessment of the travel business throughout Europe (and, when available, providing a global analysis), offering an invaluable guide to the issues affecting the sector. Exhaustive primary research from numerous specialist sources means that Mintel Travel Exposure titles examine more than general questions, investigating individual travel markets, each in a clear and concise manner, the research varying from country to country to outline the differences in outlook across the world.

Whether you are a tour or hotel operator, tourist board, airline, business school, media agency or industry investor, our definitive research publications provide a genuine means to get to grips with challenging and exciting markets.

Table of Contents

• IntroductionSummary of Key Findings
• Data Sources
• Market Characteristics -- European Overview
• Population structure
  • Figure 1: Number and percentage of the population aged 65 and over in European countries, 2005-50
• Economic outlook
• Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
  • Figure 2: Real GDP growth, 2005-08 (in % year on year)
• Private consumption
  • Figure 3: Growth in real private consumption expenditure, 2005-08
• Exchange rates
  • Figure 4: Average exchange rates against the euro, 2006-08
• Internet penetration
  • Figure 5: Internet penetration in Europe, principal outbound travel countries, June 2007
• Tourism and the economy
  • Figure 6: The European travel and tourism industry and the travel and tourism economy, 2007 and 2017
• Expenditure on personal travel and tourism
• Incoming receipts
  • Figure 7: Personal travel and tourism expenditure and incoming travel and tourism receipts, 2007 and 2017
  • Figure 8: Europe' s top ten spenders on outbound tourism, 2005-20
• Market characteristics
  • Figure 9: European outbound travel, 2006
  • Figure 10: Top source markets for European outbound travellers, 2006
• Overseas incoming markets
• US
  • Figure 11: American arrivals in Europe, 2000-06
  • Figure 12: American outbound spending, 2005 and 2010
• Japan
  • Figure 13: Japanese outbound tourism, by purpose of visit and destination, 2003
  • Figure 14: Japanese outbound spending, 2005 and 2010
• Chinese outbound market -- are current expectations overblown?
  • Figure 15: Forecast for Chinese outbound spending, 2005 and 2010
• Luxury goods retailers have the most to gain from this market
• Arrivals in Europe
• Major Industry Players
• Main events shaping the European leisure travel industry 2005-07
• Ranking of the major players
  • Figure 16: Top 10 European leisure travel groups, 2005 and 2006
• Strategy overview
• Packages offer good value
• The easyJet challenge
• Most easyJet offers are urban short-break destinations
• First Choice leads the way
  • Figure 17: Breakdown of First Choice' s mainstream business, winter 2005/06 -- winter 2006/07
  • Figure 18: First Choice' s mainstream business, winter 2005/06-winter 2006/07
• Long-haul to replace short- & medium-haul
  • Figure 19: Lease agreement run-off on short-haul & medium-haul fleet, FY 2007-13
  • Figure 20: Build-up of long-haul B787 capacity, FY 2007-13
• The challenge is strongest in the UK & Scandinavia
• Too early to sound the death knell for vertical integration
• Merger mania
• Thomas Cook/MyTravel
  • Figure 21: Thomas Cook' s market share by country
  • Figure 22: Breakdown of Thomas Cook' s revenue by segment
• MyTravel has had its troubles
• Most job cuts in the UK
• Merger approved in early May 2007
• Thomas Cook Group now trades on the stock exchange
• Thomas Cook has a 22% market share
  • Figure 23: Overview of the combined operations of MyTravel & Thomas Cook, 2007
• TUI/First Choice
• TUI Hotels & Resorts to stay with German parent
  • Figure 24: TUI Hotels & Resorts portfolio, 2006
• TUI plans biggest tourism project in the company' s history
• Flat revenue trend in the tour package business
• First Choice has focused on niche tourism products
  • Figure 25: Strategic fit and competitive positioning of the First Choice/TUI Travel combination, 2007
• First Choice continues to build its specialist capacity
  • Figure 26: First Choice acquisitions during fiscal half-year, ending 30 April 2007
• Positive booking trend for TUI
  • Figure 27: Trend in TUI bookings* as of April 2007
• TUI Travel plc should command a 24% share of the European market
  • Figure 28: Key figures for the combined operations of First Choice & TUI Travel, 2007
• Description of the new combined business
• Other major operators
• Rewe Touristik
• Branding strategy
  • Figure 29: Overview of Rewe Touristik brands
• Rewe is vertically integrated
• Rewe hotels and cruise ships
  • Figure 30: Rewe' s hotel and cruise capacity, 2007
• Outlook
• Kuoni
  • Figure 31: Breakdown of EBIT* by strategic business unit, 2006
• Kuoni has adopted a new business structure
• Kuoni has been on a shopping spree
• Avontuur.nu Topholding BV, Amsterdam
• Las Playitas
• Asian Trails Holding Ltd, Gibraltar
• Holiday Supplies Ltd, Liverpool
• Kirker Holdings Ltd, London
• Sale of Intrav Inc, St Louis
• ' UTE Megapolus' , Moscow
• Share buyback programme
• A positive booking trend
  • Figure 32: Year-on-year growth in Kuoni' s bookings by source market, April 2007
• Hotelplan
  • Figure 33: Turnover by Hotelplan subsidiary, 2006
• Stuck in the middle?
• Hotelplan is selling underperforming assets
• Belair partnership with Air Berlin
• Hotelplan is expanding its specialist and upscale offerings
• Travelhouse
• Globus Reisen
  • Figure 34: Globus Reisen travel offerings, 2007
• Interhome
  • Figure 35: Interhome key figures, 2005-06
• Group profitability deemed insufficient
  • Figure 36: Hotelplan' s consolidated profit and loss, 2005-06
• Club Med
• The Club is moving upmarket
  • Figure 37: Club Med capacity by category and region (in % and thousands of hotel days), 2005-07
• Accor shareholding reduced
  • Figure 38: Club Med shareholder structure as of 17 April 2007
• Underlying profitability is improving
  • Figure 39: Key performance data for Club Med, winter 2006-winter 2007
  • Figure 40: Club Med first-half fiscal year results, 2006 & 2007
• Refinancing transactions
• Outlook
  • Figure 41: Market potential by region, 2007
• Moving the villages upmarket
• A new 5-Trident category, including villas
• New offers for families
• ' Bar & Snacking Included' & ' Comfort à la Carte' Increasing online sales: a strategic objective for Club Med
• Distribution tie-up with Carrefour
• Summer 2007 bookings -- Jet tours down 15%
• The future of Jet tours?
• Alltours
• Operating performance
  • Figure 42: Alltours operating performance, 1999-2006
• Strategy
• Expansion into foreign markets
• Thailand, a new destination
• New management structure
• Outlook
• Alpitour World
  • Figure 43: Alpitour World Hotels & Resorts
• Outlook
• Major Players by Country/Region
  • Figure 44: Geographic coverage of leading European tour operators, 2007
• Austria
• Key trends
  • Figure 45: Austrian source market destinations for TUI customers in the summer season, 2005-06
  • Figure 46: Leading leisure travel groups in Austria, by turnover*, 2005/06
• Major players
• Belgium
• Key trends
• Thomas Cook
• TUI
  • Figure 47: Belgian source market destinations for TUI customers in the summer season, 2005/06
• A virtual duopoly
  • Figure 48: Leading leisure travel groups in Belgium, by turnover, 2005/06
• Major players
  • Figure 49: TUI Airlines, 2005-06
• Eastern Europe
• Hungary
• Poland
• TUI
• Thomas Cook
• Orbis Travel
• Airlines
• Major players
• Russia
  • Figure 50: The top ten Russian tour operators in terms of revenues* in 2005
• Three Western tour operators in the market
  • Figure 51: Market shares of Russian package tour market, 2006
• Distribution
• Package tour destinations
  • Figure 52: Package tour destinations for Russian tourists (in %), 2005
• Russian tourists not always welcome
• Outlook
• France
  • Figure 53: Trend in French tour operator passenger numbers over year from 1/11/2005 to 31/10/2006
  • Figure 54: Trend in medium -haul package destinations over the year from 1/11/2005 to 31/10/2006
  • Figure 55: Trend in long -haul package destinations over the year from 1/11/2005 to 31/10/2006
• Accor changes partners
• Tour operator performance
  • Figure 56: Top ten French tour operators by turnover
• Club Med
• Nouvelles Frontières (TUI)
  • Figure 57: French source market destinations for TUI customers in the summer season, 2005-06
  • Figure 58: Flight operations -- key figures for Corsair, summer season, 2006
• Marmara
  • Figure 59: Principal Marmara destinations, 2006
• Eurodisney Vacances SAS
• Fram
• Pierre & Vacances/Maeva/Résidences MGM
  • Figure 60: Group turnover by segment, 2004/05 & 2005/06
• Go Voyages
• Jet tours
• Kuoni France
• Thomas Cook
• Look Voyages
  • Figure 61: Look Voyages results, 2004-06
• Major players
• Germany
• Key trends
• Stagnation for package tours
• Little change in market shares
  • Figure 62: Ten leading tour operators in Germany, 2006
• TUI Deutschland
  • Figure 63: German source market destinations for TUI customers in the summer season, 2005-06
• Thomas Cook
• Rewe Touristik
• Alltours
• FTI
• Öger-GruppeAida Cruises
• L' Tur
• Phoenix
• GTI Travel
• Medium-sized operators win market share
• Smaller operators pay better commissions
• Fewer travel agents and stagnating sales
• Major players
• Italy
• Key trends
• Costa Crociere
• Ventaglio
• Hotelplan Italy
  • Figure 64: Leading Italian leisure travel groups, by turnover, 2006
• Major players
• The Netherlands
• Key trends
• OAD
  • Figure 65: OAD performance figures, 2003-06
• TUI
  • Figure 66: Dutch source market destinations for TUI customers in the summer season, 2005-06
• Distribution
• Thomas Cook
• Vacansoleil, Sudtours & De Jong Intra Vakanties
• Kuoni
• First Choice & Holidaybreak
  • Figure 67: Leading leisure travel groups in the Netherlands, by turnover, 2006
• Major players
• The Nordic Region
• Key trends
• Thomas Cook (formerly MyTravel)
• TUI
  • Figure 68: Nordic source market destinations for TUI customers in the summer season, 2005-06
  • Figure 69: Flight operations TUIfly Nordic -- Key figures, Summer season, 2006
• Distribution
• Kuoni
  • Figure 70: Kuoni Scandinavia turnover by country, fiscal year, 2006
  • Figure 71: Leading leisure travel groups in the Nordic region, by turnover, 2005/06
• Major players
• Spain
• Key trends
• Iberostar
• Globalia
• Switzerland
• Key trends
• Kuoni
• Hotelplan
  • Figure 72: Destination trend for HPSG, fiscal 2005/06
• Hotelplan expands with Travelhouse purchase
  • Figure 73: Travelhouse specialist tour operators, 2007
• Outlook for fiscal 2007
• TUI
  • Figure: Swiss source market destinations for TUI customers in the summer season, 2005-06
• Distribution
  • Figure 74: Leading leisure travel groups in Switzerland, by turnover, 2006
• Major players
• The UK
• Key trends
• Cruising a growth segment
  • Figure 75: Projected growth in UK online sales of leisure and unmanaged business travel, 2006-11
  • Figure 76: Demographic profile of UK Internet users who visited travel websites, March 2007
• TUI/Thomson
  • Figure 77: UK source market destinations for TUI customers in the summer season, 2005-06
  • Figure 78: Flight operations UK -- Key figures
• Distribution
• Thomas Cook
• MyTravel
• First Choice
• Kuoni
• Holidaybreak
• Inghams/Hotelplan
  • Figure 79: Leading leisure travel groups in the UK, by turnover, fiscal 2006
• Major players
• Trends and Issues in the European Travel Industry
• Distribution trends
  • Figure 80: Trends in the European travel market size, 1998-2006
• Low-cost carriers are driving online bookings
  • Figure 81: Breakdown of online travel reservations in Europe by type, 2006
• The UK accounts for more than a third
  • Figure 82: Breakdown of online travel reservations in Europe by country/region, 2006
• Direct versus indirect
  • Figure 83: Disappearance of commission across markets; domestic commission cuts across markets
  • Figure 84: Trend in the proportion of direct versus indirect online travel sales in Europe, 1998-2006
• Sweden and Italy favour intermediaries
  • Figure 85: Direct versus indirect online travel sales by country, 2006
• The leading online travel sites
  • Figure 86: Top European travel sites by number of European visitors, aged 15+ March 2007
• Expedia
• ViaMichelin
• TUI' s online sales are exploding
  • Figure 87: Growth in TUI' s online sales, 2000-06
• Lastminute.com
• Priceline' s booking.com subsidiary
• Amadeus
• Opodo
• Travelport
  • Figure 88: Travelport' s global business segments, 2007
• Budget airlines
  • Figure 89: Principal LCCs in Europe, 2006
• The LCC market in Spain
• Air Berlin buys LTU
• Cruising
  • Figure 90: Growth in European cruise passengers, 1995-2005
• Cruising markets
  • Figure 91: Western European cruise market 2003-05
• Cruising passenger profile
• European cruising capacity
• The Mediterranean
• Northern Europe
• Outlook for capacity growth
  • Figure 92: New wordlwide cruise ship capacity in the pipeline at end 2005
• What Next?
• Risk of a slowing economy
• Ageing of the population -- risk or opportunity?
• Implications of the currency outlook
• Future long-haul travel -- reserved for an elite?
• Rail -- the wave of the future?
• Growth to be in modular trips
  • Figure 93: Expected development of the European leisure travel market, 1990-2010
• ' Mass customisation' -- the way forward
  • Figure 94: Travel industry trends