世界のホテル業界

Abstract

Mintel European Travel Exposure is a diverse yet detailed collection of reports examining the structure, size and dynamics of an industry experiencing constant change. The series provides a continual assessment of the travel business throughout Europe (and, when available, providing a global analysis), offering an invaluable guide to the issues affecting the sector. Exhaustive primary research from numerous specialist sources means that Mintel Travel Exposure titles examine more than general questions, investigating individual travel markets, each in a clear and concise manner, the research varying from country to country to outline the differences in outlook across the world.

Whether you are a tour or hotel operator, tourist board, airline, business school, media agency or industry investor, our definitive research publications provide a genuine means to get to grips with challenging and exciting markets.

Table of Contents

• IntroductionKey points
• Definitions
• Hotel companies
• Key terms and abbreviations
• Data Sources
• Economic Outlook
• Current outlook for GDP growth
• The risk of falling property prices
  • Figure 1: Real GDP, (% change from previous year), 2006-08
• Long-term growth prospects
• Purchasing power parity of little relevance
  • Figure 2: Chinese household income by income bracket, 2006 & 2025
• Consumption to lag overall growth
  • Figure 3: Real private consumption expenditure (% change from previous year), 2006-08
• Interest rates
• Short term
  • Figure 4: Trend & outlook for short-term interest rates*, 2006-08
• Long term
  • Figure 5: Outlook for long-term interest rates, 2007-08
• Surging oil prices
• Exchange rate outlook
  • Figure 6: Outlook for exchange rates (vis à vis the US dollar), 2003-06
  • Figure 7: Average exchange rates against the Euro, 2006-08
• Outlook for spending on travel and tourism to 2017
  • Figure 8: Travel & tourism expenditure worldwide, 2007-17
• Hotel Capacity Worldwide
  • Figure 9: Estimated number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments worldwide, 2001-06
• Africa
  • Figure 10: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in selected African countries, 2002-06
• South Africa
• Americas
• Caribbean
  • Figure 11: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in selected Caribbean destinations, 2002-06
• Central & South America
  • Figure 12: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in selected Latin American countries, 2002-06
• Argentina
• Brazil
  • Figure 13: Hotel and room capacity in Brazil, 2003-06*
• North America
• Canada
  • Figure 14: Capacity breakdown and supply and demand trends for upscale hotels by major Canadian city and province, year ending July 2007
• Mexico
  • Figure 15: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in Mexico, 2002-06
  • Figure 16: Hotel capacity in Mexico by grade, 2005
• US
  • Figure 17: Hotel property/room breakdown by location, rate category and size, 2005
  • Figure 18: Supply growth in the US hotel market, 2004-09*
  • Figure 19: Hotel room pipeline in the US by stage of development, April 2007
  • Figure 20: Hotel room pipeline by category -- number of rooms under construction, December 2004
• Asia-Pacific
• Australia
  • Figure 21: Hotel, motel and serviced apartment room capacity in Australia, December 2006
• China
  • Figure 22: Number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in China, 2000-05
  • Figure 23: Hotels in Mainland China by grade at end 2006
  • Figure 24: Profile of Mainland Chinese hotel sector, 2005
• Hong Kong
  • Figure 25: Hong Kong hotel room supply, 2002-11
• Macao
  • Figure 26: Long-term projection of hotel projects in Macao, 2007
• Japan
  • Figure 27: Number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in Japan, 2001-05
• Thailand
  • Figure 28: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in Thailand, 2001-04
  • Figure 29: Geographical distribution of Thai hotel & guesthouse capacity, 2006
  • Figure 30: Thai hotel & guesthouse capacity by size, 2004 & 2006
• Other East Asian countries
  • Figure 31: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in selected East Asian countries, 2002-06
• South Asia
• India
  • Figure 32: Hotels belonging to the FHRAI, 2002-06
• Future capacity expansion
• Budget hotels
• The long-term outlook
  • Figure 33: New hotel capacity by market segment) projected to enter the market over the period 2006-11, by major urban market
  • Figure 34: New room supply by major Indian destination, 2006-11
• Pakistan and Sri Lanka
  • Figure 35: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in Pakistan & Sri Lanka, 2002-06
• Europe
  • Figure 36: Chain hotel capacity in the 27 EU countries by star grade, 2006-07*
• Alpine region
  • Figure 37: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in Austria & Switzerland, 2002-06
• Switzerland
  • Figure 38: Hotels and health spas according to size of establishment, 2006
  • Figure 39: Swiss hotel and cure establishment by major canton, 2006
• Benelux
  • Figure 40: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in Belgium & the Netherlands, 2002-06
• Eastern Europe
  • Figure 41: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in selected Eastern European countries, 2002-06
• Moscow
  • Figure 42: Russian hotel capacity in the pipeline, 2007
• Eastern Mediterranean
  • Figure 43: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in Eastern Mediterranean countries, 2002-06
• France
  • Figure 44: French hotels by grade, location and affiliation at end 2006
  • Figure 45: French hotel rooms by grade, location and affiliation at end 2006
  • Figure 46: French hotel capacity in the pipeline, 2007
• Germany
  • Figure 47: Breakdown of registered lodging capacity in Germany, July 2007
  • Figure 48: German hotel capacity in the pipeline, 2007
• Italy
  • Figure 49: Italian hotel capacity by region, 2006
  • Figure 50: Italian hotel capacity by grade, 2004
  • Figure 51: Italian hotel capacity in the pipeline, 2007
• Nordic area
  • Figure 52: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in Nordic countries, 2002-06
• Portugal
  • Figure 53: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in Portugal, 2002-06
  • Figure 54: Hotel room capacity by region in Portugal, 2005
• Spain
  • Figure 55: Spanish lodging capacity by principle region, September 2007
  • Figure 56: Breakdown of available hotel capacity by grade, 2002 & 2007
  • Figure 57: Spanish hotel capacity in the pipeline, 2007
• UK
  • Figure 58: Hotels registered with tourist boards in the UK*, 2003/04
• London accommodation supply
  • Figure 59: London hotel supply change by grade, 2002-06
• UK hotel pipeline
  • Figure 60: UK hotel capacity in the pipeline, 2007
• Middle East
  • Figure 61: Trend in the number of rooms in hotels and similar establishments in selected Middle Eastern countries, 2002-06
  • Figure 62: Middle East hotel pipeline by country, 2007-10
• Chain Penetration by Region
  • Figure 63: Estimated branded rooms by region, 2007
• Americas
• Canada
  • Figure 64: Top Three hotel groups in Canada, 2006
  • Figure 65: CHI hotels in Canada by brand, 2007
• Latin America
  • Figure 66: Hotel penetration in Brazil, 2003-06
• Accor
  • Figure 67: Accor' s hotel capacity in Latin America & the Caribbean, by affiliation structure, at end June 2007
  • Figure 68: Accor' s hotel capacity in Latin America & the Caribbean, by brand, at end 2006
• Sol Meliá
  • Figure 69: Sol Meliá hotel properties by country in Latin America and the Caribbean, end 2006CHI
  • Figure 70: CHI hotels by brand in Mexico and Central & South America, 2006
• Atlantica
• Grupo Posadas
  • Figure 71: Geographical distribution of Grupo Posadas hotel capacity by brand, September 2007
  • Figure 72: Distribution of Grupo Posadas hotel capacity by country and type of location, September 2007
• Recent development and pipeline
  • Figure 73: Grupo Posadas' s pipeline by brand and region, September 2007
• US
  • Figure 74: Top 25 hotel brands in the US ranked by number of rooms, March 2007
• The fastest-growing brands
  • Figure 75: The ten fastest rowing hotel brands in the US between March 2006 and March 2007
  • Figure 76: Brand introductions, 2007
  • Figure 77: Brand introductions, 2006
  • Figure 78: Brand introductions, 2005
  • Figure 79: US pipeline of major multi-brand chains by lodging segment, October 2007
• New brands are gaining a following
  • Figure 80: New brand US pipeline, October 2007
• The effects of the ' credit crunch' may be felt in a quarter or two
• Asia
  • Figure 81: Top ten hotel chains in Asia* ranked by number of rooms at end 2006
• China
  • Figure 82: The leading hotel chains in China ranked by rooms, 2007
• Accor
• Hilton
• Hyatt
• InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG)
• Jin Jiang
  • Figure 83: The Jin Jiang upscale pipeline, 2007
• Jinling Hotels & Resorts
• Shangri-La
  • Figure 84: Shangri-La in China, 2006
• Starwood
• Wyndham
• Budget hotel expansion
• India
• Indian Hotels Company/Taj
  • Figure 85: Growth in Taj hotel capacity & revenues, 2004-07
• Taj' s pipeline
  • Figure 86: Taj pipeline: new-builds, 31 March 2007
  • Figure 87: Taj pipeline: management contracts, 31 March 2007
• ITC WelcomGroup
• Leela Hotels
• Oberoi
• Sarovar Hotels & Resorts
• Japan
• IHG' s tie up with ANA hotels yields 12,000 rooms
• JAL Hotels to be spun off
• The big luxury brands are moving into Tokyo
• International Chains
• Chain penetration in Africa & Middle East
• Africa
• South Africa
• Tunisia
• Middle East
  • Figure 88: Market share of major chains by Middle Eastern country, 2007
• Rotana
• Chain penetration in Australia
  • Figure 89: The top Australian hotel operators at end December 2006
• Chain penetration in Europe
  • Figure 90: Estimated chain penetration of total rooms in selected European countries, 2007
• The top ten hotel groups
  • Figure 91: Chain hotel capacity in the 27 EU countries by star grade 2006-07*
• Accor
  • Figure 92: Accor' s European portfolio by brand, 31 December 2006
  • Figure 93: Accor' s budget pipeline by European country, 2007
• Best Western
• CHI
• Hilton
• IHG
• Marriott
• NH Hoteles
• Rezidor
• Sol Meliá & other Spanish resort operators
  • Figure 94: The 50 top brands in the 27 EU countries by room capacity, 2006-07*
• Chain penetration by country in Europe
• Austria
  • Figure 95: The five leading hotel brands in Austria by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• Belgium
  • Figure 96: The five leading hotel brands in Belgium by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• Finland
  • Figure 97: The five leading hotel brands in Finland by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• France
• Louvre Hotels
  • Figure 98: The ten leading hotel brands in France by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• B&B Hotels
• Germany
• Accor and Dorint
• Maritim
  • Figure 99: The five leading hotel brands in Germany by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• Motel One
• Sol Meliá
• Greece
• Figure 100: The five leading hotel brands in Greece by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• Hungary
  • Figure 101: The five leading hotel brands in Hungary by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• Ireland
  • Figure 102: The five leading hotel brands in Ireland by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• Italy
  • Figure 103: The five leading hotel brands in Italy by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• The Netherlands
  • Figure 104: The five leading hotel brands in the Netherlands by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• Poland
  • Figure 105: The five leading hotel brands in Poland by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• Portugal
  • Figure 106: The five leading hotel brands in Portugal by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
  • Figure 107: The five leading hotel brands in Spain by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• Russia
  • Figure 108: International chain presence in Russia and CIS, September 2007
• Hilton has big plans
• A Copthorne in Moscow
• Sweden
  • Figure 109: The five leading hotel brands in Sweden by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
• UK
  • Figure 110: The five leading hotel brands in the UK by number of rooms, at 1 January 2007
  • Figure 111: Leading UK budget hotel brands, 2007
• Chain penetration in India
• Accor
• 100 Formule 1
• 15 Ibis hotels
• Midscale hotels: Novotel and Mercure
• Best Western/Cabana
• Carlson Hotels Worldwide
  • Figure 112: Carlson' s pipeline, August 2007
• CHI
• easyHotel
• Hilton
  • Figure 113: Current Hilton-DLF joint-venture pipeline in India, 2007
• IHG
• Marriott International
  • Figure 114: Marriott' s current pipeline in India, 2007
• Premier Travel Inn/Emaar
• Starwood Hotels & Resorts
• Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
• Hotel Performance by Region
• Africa & Middle East
• Africa
• South Africa
  • Figure 115: South African hotel performance, first half 2007
• Middle East
  • Figure 116: Four- and five-star hotel performance by major city in the Middle East, 2005-06
  • Figure 117: Year-to date performance in major Middle Eastern hotel markets, June 2007
• Profitability in Middle Eastern hotels
• Americas
• Canada
  • Figure 118: Hotel performance by major city and province in Canada, year-to-date July 2006 vs year-to-date July 2007
• Latin America & the Caribbean
  • Figure 119: Latin American and Caribbean hotel performance by region -- year to date, June 2006 vs June 2007
  • Figure 120: Latin American and Caribbean hotel performance by country -- year to date, June 2006 vs June 2007
  • Figure 121: Latin American and Caribbean hotel performance by major city -- year to date, June 2006 vs June 2007
• Valuation trends
• European hotels have offered the best currency-adjusted returns
• Asian hotel values
  • Figure 122: Trend in the per room value of upscale hotels in major Asian cities (ranked by 2006 value), 2000-06
• European hotel values
• Outlook clouded by financing concerns
  • Figure 123: Trends in the per room value of upscale hotels in major European cities (ranked by 2006 value), 2000-06
• Mexico
  • Figure 124: Upscale Mexican hotel performance -- year to date, June 2006 vs June 2007
  • Figure 125: Hotel performance in the main tourist destinations, 2000-06
  • Figure 126: Performance by major tourism destination, 2004-05
• US
  • Figure 127: Year-on-year percentage change in key performance indicators for the US hotel market, 2004- May 2007
• Performance by category
  • Figure 128: US hotel performance by category -- year to date, July 2006 vs July 2007
• Performance by region and city
  • Figure 129: US hotel performance by region -- year to date, July 2006 vs July 2007
• New York is a winner
  • Figure 130: Operating performance by principal US city for the 12 months to end August 2007
• Atlanta is flagging
• Performance by type of location
  • Figure 131: US hotel performance by type of location -- year to date, July 2006 vs July 2007
• Hotel values in the US
• Slowing growth is forecasted
  • Figure 132: Trend in the indexed value per room in major US cities, 2000-06*
• Asia Pacific
  • Figure 133: Upscale hotel performance trend by major Asia-Pacific region, country & city, year-to-date, June 2006 vs June 2007
  • Figure 134: Hotel performance of selected markets across Asia Pacific -- year-to-June 2007 compared to the prior year period
• Australia
  • Figure 135: Tourist accommodation performance key Australian markets, year to date December 2006
  • Figure 136: Upscale hotel performance trend in Australia and in Sydney, year-to-date June 2006 vs June 2007
• Brisbane
• Cairns
• Gold Coast
• Melbourne
• Perth
• Sydney
• India
  • Figure 137: Indian Hotel performance by grade, 2005-06
  • Figure 138: Trend in occupancy* by major Indian city/destination, 2000-07
  • Figure 139: Trend in ADR* by major city/destination, 2000-07
  • Figure 140: Trend in RevPAR* by major city/destination, 2000-07
• Hotel profitability
  • Figure 141: Common-size income summary for the Indian hotel sector, 2001-06
• North East Asia
• Hong Kong
• Shanghai
• Vietnam
• Singapore and Manila
• Europe
• Hotel performance in Europe by star grade
  • Figure 142: Chain hotel performance in EU countries* by star grade, year-to-end August 2007 compared to the prior year period
• Recent performance by country in Europe
• Italy has the highest rates
  • Figure 143: Chain hotel performance by selected country in the EU, year-to-end August 2007 compared to the prior year period
• Hotel performance in Europe by major city
  • Figure 144: Key European city performance, six months year-on-year to end June 2007
• France
  • Figure 145: Chain hotel performance in France by star grade, year-to-end August 2007 compared to the prior year period
• Germany
• Spain
• UK
• Scottish cities outperform provincial average
  • Figure 146: UK hotel performance* year-to-date end August 2007, compared to prior year period
• UK forecast
  • Figure 147: Forecast performance for UK hotels, 2007-08, September 2007
• Hotel Property Financing and Management
• Securitisation -- a major source of hotel financing
• Origins of the current ' credit crunch'
• Tighter lending conditions
• Construction loans -- a silver lining?
• Real estate investment trusts (REITs)
• REIT valuation parameters
• Hotel REITs in Canada
• Canadian Hotel Income Properties (CHIP)
• InnVest
• Legacy Hotels
• Royal Host
• Hotel REITs in France
• Foncière des MursA Hotel REIT in Hong Kong
  • Figure 148: Performance of Regal REIT' s hotel portfolio, 2003-06
• Hotel REITs in Japan
• Two hotel J-REITs
• Singapore -- CDL Hospitality Trusts
  • Figure 149: CDL Hospitality REIT hotel portfolio, 2007
• Hotel REITs in the UK?
• US hotel REITs
  • Figure 150: US hotel REIT characteristics, end September 2007
• Host Hotels and Resorts, Inc
  • Figure 151: Host' s portfolio by brand, February 2007
  • Figure 152: Host' s portfolio by type of location, September 2007
• Hospitality Properties Trust
• Private equity
• Blackstone
  • Figure 153: Blackstone funds' major hotel acquisitions, 2004-07
• Carlyle
• Colony Capital
• Partnership with Kingdom Holdings
• Morgan Stanley
• Asset management
• Distribution Channels
  • Figure 154: Reservations by channel for major hotel chains, Q2 2007
  • Figure 155: Reservations by channel for major hotel chains, Q2 2007
• Trends in spending by hotels on web-marketing
• Key findings
• Internet marketing ROI
  • Figure 156: What hoteliers believe are the best Internet marketing strategies, 2007
• Budget allocations differ across industry segments
  • Figure 157: Breakdown of budgeted hotel spending on Internet distribution by category, 2007
• Budget allocations differ between the US and internationally
• US vs international hotels
  • Figure 158: Budget allocations for hotel Internet marketing -- the US compared tothe rest of the world, 2007
• Internet marketing budget allocations trends 2007
• Web 2.0 -- here to stay or a flash in the pan?
• aloft enters and then exits ' Second Life'
• Web 2.0 presents risks as well as opportunities
• Targeted advertising via Web 2.0
• Spas & Wellness
  • Figure 159: Spa-goers worldwide by gender and country, 2006
• Definitions
• Preferred treatments by country
  • Figure 160: Top treatments received in past 12 months by country, 2007
• Current trends in treatment
• Spas as profit centres?
  • Figure 161: Rate premium for US luxury hotels with spas as compared to those without, 1997-2007
• Spa revenue analysis
• Profitability
• Luxury spas in developing countries can be very profitable
• Physical attributes
• Construction costs
• Environment and Sustainable Development
• Eco-branding
• The International Hotels Environment Initiative
• 1 Hotel & Residences
• LEED standards
• Fairmont
• Motel 6
• Government action required
• Energy-Star -- a step in the right direction
• In-room energy management systems
• In-house Technology and Design Features
• On-property entertainment
• Hilton' s ' Sight+Sound' rooms
• Hyatt' s music offering
• Hotel design
• Design hotels
• Marriott and Hyatt play catch-up in the boutique segment
• Marriott and Ian Schrager
• Hyatt' s ANdAZ
• Budget hotel design
• CitizenM
• easyHotel
• Motel One
• YOTEL
• What Next?
• Optimism reigns
• Rising hotel rates predicted
  • Figure 162: Forecast hotel rate* rises by region, for 2008
• Asia-Pacific
  • Figure 163: Forecast hotel rate* rises in Asia-Pacific, for 2008
  • Figure 164: Forecast hotel rate* rises in Latin America & Caribbean, for 2008
• Europe
  • Figure 165: Forecast hotel rate* rises in Europe, for 2008
• North America
  • Figure 166: Forecast hotel rate* rises in North America, for 2008
• What could go wrong?
• Growth forecasts being cut