世界の有機太陽電池市場

The promises of organic photovoltaics (OPV) are disruptive pricing and the ability to enable entirely new products such as smart windows and solar-charged cell phones. Despite these promises, utilizing OPV will be challenging. Organic materials offer poor energy conversion ratios when compared to other thin-film PV technologies, even worse when compared to more conventional crystalline-based photovoltaics. In addition, as with all organic electronics, the active material is very susceptible to damage by water vapor and oxygen.

This new report analyzes and quantifies the market for OPV over the next eight years. It provides capacity and market forecasts, profiles both materials and solar panel firms to watch in the OPV space and takes a hard look at investment trends impacting the OPV business.

Beginning with an examination of the current state of the art in OPV, the report discusses performance issues and the various materials options including "pure" polymer approaches, small molecules, DSSC' s and hybrid approaches. An analysis follows of future applications of OPV in traditional areas, as well as novel uses in integrated building systems, signage and consumer electronics. The report ends with detailed forecasts of OPV markets broken out by application, production technology and material.

Table of Contents

• E.1 Evolution of OPV and DSC Technologies
  • E.1.1 Organic Photovoltaics (OPV)
  • E.1.2 Dye Sensitized Cells (DSCs)
• E.2 Evolution of OPV and DSC Markets
  • E.2.1 Current Applications Development Efforts
  • E.2.2 Analysis of Market Opportunities for OPV and DSC Technologies
• E.3 DSC and OPV Firms to Watch
  • E.3.1 DSC Suppliers
  • E.3.2 OPV Suppliers
• E.4 Investment Trends in OPV
  • E.4.1 VC and Other Private Investment
  • E.4.2 Government Investment
• E.5 Summary of Market Projections

• 1.1 Background to this Report
  • 1.1.1 The Rise of New PV Materials
  • 1.1.2 Enter OPV
  • 1.1.3 New Materials for OPV
  • 1.1.4 Markets for OPV and DSC
• 1.2 Objectives and Scope of this Report
• 1.3 Methodology of this Report
• 1.4 Plan of this Report

• 2.1 Introduction
• 2.2 Benefits of OPV
  • 2.2.1 Cost
  • 2.2.2 Flexibility and Weight
• 2.3 Areas for Improvement in OPV Technology
  • 2.3.1 Conversion Efficiencies
  • 2.3.2 Environmental and Long-term Stability
  • 2.3.3 Other
• 2.4 Materials for OPV
  • 2.4.1 Polymers
  • 2.4.2 Small Molecules
  • 2.4.3 Dye Sensitized Cells (DSCs)
  • 2.4.4 Use of Fullerenes, Carbon Nanotubes and Nanocrystals
  • 2.4.5 Encapsulation, Barrier Coatings and Substrates
  • 2.4.6 Other Materials
• 2.5 Device Architectures
  • 2.5.1 Bulk Heterojunctions (BHJs)
  • 2.5.2 Tandem Cells
• 2.6 Manufacturing Approaches
  • 2.6.1 Printing and Solution Processing
  • 2.6.2 Vacuum Deposition
  • 2.6.3 Alternative Deposition Methods
• 2.7 Key Points in this Chapter

• 3.1 Introduction
• 3.2 Traditional Solar Panels
• 3.3 Integrated Building Systems
  • 3.3.1 Roofing
  • 3.3.2 Smart Windows and Walls
• 3.4 Consumer Electronics
  • 3.4.1 Onboard Battery Chargers for Handheld Devices
  • 3.4.2 Standalone Battery Chargers
  • 3.4.3 Calculators
  • 3.4.4 Watches
• 3.5 Smart Fabrics
  • 3.5.1 Military Uniforms
  • 3.5.2 Smart Curtains
• 3.6 Signage
• 3.7 Progress Toward On-Grid Power Generation
  • 3.7.1 Markets in the U.S
  • 3.7.2 Markets in Europe
• 3.8 Packaging Applications
• 3.9 Key Points in this Chapter

• 4.1 Introduction
• 4.2 Dyesol Limited
• 4.3 Global Photonic Energy Corporation (GPEC)
• 4.4 G24 Innovations (G24i)
  • 4.4.1 BASF
  • 4.4.2 Cardiff University
• 4.5 Heliatek
  • 4.5.1 Heliatek and the Bosch/BASF Alliance
• 4.6 Konarka Technologies
  • 4.6.1 Materials Partners
  • 4.6.2 Scale-up partners
  • 4.6.3 Application Partners
• 4.7 Merck/EMD
  • 4.7.1 BASF, Bosch, Merck and Schott Alliance
• 4.8 Peccell Technologies
• 4.9 Plextronics
• 4.10 Solarmer (AMREL)
• 4.11 Others
  • 4.11.1 Botest Systems
  • 4.11.2 Eikos
  • 4.11.3 Isovolta Group
  • 4.11.4 Matsushita
  • 4.11.5 Mitsubishi
  • 4.11.6 Orionsolar
  • 4.11.7 Seiki / Toyota
  • 4.11.8 Solaris Nanosciences Corporation
  • 4.11.9 Solaronix SA
  • 4.11.10 Vitex Systems
• 4.12 Research Institutions
  • 4.12.1 Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne (EPFL) - Michael Gratzel
  • 4.12.2 Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems (ISE) - Andreas Gombert and Michael Niggemann
  • 4.12.3 Johannes Kepler Univeristy↑s Linzer Institut fur Organische Solarzellen (LIOS) - Serdar Sariciftci
  • 4.12.4 National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
  • 4.12.5 OE-A/VDMA
  • 4.12.6 PETEC

• 5.1 Forecasting Methodology
  • 5.1.1 Data Sources
  • 5.1.2 Scope of Forecast
• 5.2 Assessment of Emerging Capacity for DSC and OPV Production
  • 5.2.1 DSC
  • 5.2.2 OPV
• 5.3 Forecast of DSC and OPV Capacity Utilization and Production
• 5.4 Forecast by Application
  • 5.4.1 DSC
  • 5.4.2 OPV
  • 5.4.3 Summary of Forecasts by Materials and Differences from Previous NanoMarkets Forecasts
• 5.5 Forecast of Manufacturing Technology
• 5.6 How Much Confidence Should You Have in These Forecasts?

Appendix 1 - Methodology for Reporting Cell Efficiencies

Abbreviations and Acronyms Used in This Report

About the Author

• Exhibit E-1: OPV Cell Development: Time Line
• Exhibit E-2: DSC Cell Development
• Exhibit E-3: Technology Transition for DSC and OPV Efficiencies
• Exhibit 3-4: Opportunity Analysis for OPV/DSC Technology
• Exhibit E-5: Summary of Revenue Projections for OPV and DSC Technology ($ Millions)
• Exhibit 2-1: DSC and OPV Cell Efficiencies
• Exhibit 2-2: Benefits of DSC and OPV Cells
• Exhibit 2-3: Technology Transitions for PV Costs
• Exhibit 2-4: Materials and Technologies Used in OPV Cells
• Exhibit 2-5: Selected p-channel Organic Semiconductor Systems
• Exhibit 2-6: Selected n-type Organic Semiconductor Systems
• Exhibit 2-7: Selected Small Molecules
• Exhibit 2-8: DSC Technology Transitions
• Exhibit 2-9: DSC - Today' s Cost Breakdown
• Exhibit 2-10: Comparison of DSC Sensitizer Materials
• Exhibit 2-11: Fullerene Based n-Channel Organic Semiconductors
• Exhibit 2-12: Transparent Conductive Electrode Comparison
• Exhibit 2-13: Indium Tin Oxide Substitutes
• Exhibit 2-14: Organic Solar Cell Manufacturing
• Exhibit 2-15: Comparison of Common Printing Processes
• Exhibit 2-16: Comparison of Inkjet Technologies
• Exhibit 2-17: Inkjet Equipment Suppliers
• Exhibit 2-18: OVPD Versus Thermal Evaporation
• Exhibit 3-1: Technological Developments for DSC and PV by Application
• Exhibit 3-2: Selected DSC and OPV Consumer Electronic Applications
• Exhibit 3-3: European Feed-in Tariffs
• Exhibit 3-4: Competitiveness Between Electricity Generating Cost for PV and Utility Prices
• Exhibit 4-1: Selected OPV Material Suppliers
• Exhibit 4-2: Selected OPV Technology Developers
• Exhibit 4-3: Recent Dyesol Partnership Developments
• Exhibit 4-4: G24i' s Product Range
• Exhibit 4-5: Proposed Properties for Heliatek' s OPV Material
• Exhibit 4-6: Properties of Konarka' s Power Plastic OPV-based Material
• Exhibit 4-7: Konarka& s OPV-based Material Targets for 2010
• Exhibit 4-8: Recent Konarka Partnership Developments
• Exhibit 4-9: Merck KGaA/EMD Chemicals OPV Product Range
• Exhibit 4-10: Properties of Peccell' s OPV Material
• Exhibit 4-11: Proposed Properties of Solarmer' s OPV Cells
• Exhibit 4-12: Isovolta' s Encapsulation Material Results
• Exhibit 4-13: Proposed Properties of Orionsolar' s DSC
• Exhibit 4-14: Vitex Product Range
• Exhibit 4-15: Selected Research Institutions Developing DSC & OPV Technology
• Exhibit 4-16: Suppliers Holding a Pioneer License from EPFL
• Exhibit 4-17: OPV Applications
• Exhibit 5-1: Worldwide Capacity and Production of Organic and Dye Sensitive Cell Photovoltaics
• Exhibit 5-2: Worldwide Market for DSC-based PV
• Exhibit 5-3: Worldwide Market for OPV-based PV
• Exhibit 5-4: Worldwide Markets or OPV- and DSC- based PV ($ Millions)