米国のアルミニウム市場の分析

The new report, “US Aluminum Market Analysis” by RNCOS is an elaborate study of the aluminum market in the US. It rationally discusses the past and current performance of the market and looks into its future prospects. This report helps the clients to analyze the trends and the developments in the US aluminum market vis-a-vis the global scenario.

The US aluminum industry depends on a variety of economic factors and its future performance is difficult to predict. The forecast given in this report is not based on a complex economic model, but is intended as a guide to the direction in which the market is likely to move.

For our research purpose, the market has been defined in terms of primary aluminum production.

In terms of both its positive economic and environmental impact, the aluminum industry remains one of the most significant success stories nationally as well as internationally. Due to its benefit, the aluminum industry will shine in future. The global consumption of aluminum products, both upstream and downstream, is expected to double by 2020 annually.

The aluminum industry of the US is the world' s largest single producer of primary aluminum. The US industry operates over 300 plants in 35 states, produces more than 23 Billion pounds of metal annually, and employs over 145,000 people with an annual payroll of about US$ 5 Billion. Aluminum is one of the few products and industries left in America that truly impacts every community in the country, either through physical plants and facilities, recycling, heavy industry, or consumption of consumer goods.

• By volume, the US aluminum industry is projected to grow by 210,000 Metric Tons (nearly 9%) during 2007-2011, attributed to enhanced energy supply capacity, new cost efficient production technologies and government support.
• Market demand is largely fueled by the need for aluminum by various industry sectors, particularly transport and packaging sector.
• The aluminum consumption market is highly relied on imported aluminum.
• Aluminum is chiefly imported from a number of countries, such as Canada, Russia, China and Mexico, where the cost of production is relatively less. This makes imported aluminum cost effective, thereby posing a significant challenge for the domestic producers.
• Positive outlook for the construction industry in the US will definitely boost revenue growth of the aluminum industry.
• The industry offers huge opportunities for production equipment manufacturers as it is projected to enlarge its production to meet out domestic consumption demand.
• In spite of the lowering demand from automobile market, aluminum use in automobiles will continue to grow as aluminum content per vehicle is increasing.

This section provides an overview of the key facts and financial position of players like Alcoa Inc., Alcan Inc., Century Aluminum Company, Aleris International Inc. and Novelis Inc.

• What are the trends in the US aluminum market with respect to market value, production, consumption, price etc?
• What is import and export situation of aluminum in the country?
• What is the cost of energy and labor in various US states?
• What are the various avenues for growth for aluminum industry in the US?
• What are the challenges associated with this industry?

Information has been sourced from books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

The analysis method includes ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis.

1. Analyst View

2. Global Aluminum Industry

• 2.1 By Market Value (Current & Future Performance)
• 2.2 By Market Volume (Current & Future Performance)
• 2.3 By Region

3. US Aluminum Industry

• 3.1 Overview
• 3.2 Business Cost Analysis
• 3.3 Primary Aluminum Market
  • 3.3.1 By Market Value
  • 3.3.2 By Market Volume
• 3.4 Secondary (Recycling) Aluminum Market
• 3.5 Aluminum Consumption Market
  • 3.5.1 Transportation Market
    • 3.5.1.1 Automobile
    • 3.5.1.2 Aircrafts
    • 3.5.1.3 Space
    • 3.5.1.4 Others
  • 3.5.2 Packaging & Containers
    • 3.5.2.1 Foil & Rigid Containers
    • 3.5.2.2 Other Consumer Products
  • 3.5.3 Building & Construction
    • 3.5.3.1 Bridges
    • 3.5.3.2 Cable/Transmission
    • 3.5.3.3 Commercial & Residential Construction
    • 3.5.3.4 Domes

4. Import & Export Trends

• 4.1 Import
• 4.2 Export
• 4.3 Net Import Reliance

5. New Avenues for Growth

• 5.1 Technological Developments
  • 5.1.1 Microwave-assisted Electrolytic Cell Technology
  • 5.1.2 Fluorine-containing Ionic Liquids Technology
  • 5.1.3 ITM Process
  • 5.1.4 Salt Fluxing with Low Environmental Emissions
• 5.2 Growing Automotive Aluminum Market
• 5.3 Positive Outlook of Aircraft Industry
• 5.4 Growing Construction Industry
• 5.5 Growing Consumer Electronic Market
• 5.6 Production Equipment Manufacturers
• 5.7 Market Opening for Free Trade
• 5.8 Human Resource Consultants

6. Key Issues Facing Aluminum Industry

• 6.1 Rising Electric Power Cost
• 6.2 Existing Substitutes
• 6.3 Environmental Regulations
• 6.4 Economic Slowdown in US
• 6.5 Sustainability Issues
• 6.6 Declining Aluminum Can Recycling Rates

7. Future Outlook (2007-2011)

• 7.1 By Market Value
• 7.2 By Market Volume

8. Government Regulations & Support

9. Key Industry Contributors

• 9.1 Alcoa Inc.
• 9.2 Century Aluminum Company
• 9.3 Alcan Inc.
• 9.4 Novelis Inc.
• 9.5 Aleris International, Inc.

• Figure 2-1: Global - Aluminum Industry Market Value (in Billion US$), 2002-2006
• Figure 2-2: Global - Forecast for Aluminum Industry Market Value (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
• Figure 2-3: Global - Aluminum Industry Market Volume (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 2-4: Global - Forecast for Aluminum Industry Market Volume (in Million Metric Tons), 2007-2011
• Figure 2-5: Global - Aluminum Consumption Market by Region (in Million Metric Tons), 2005 & 2020F
• Figure 2-6: Global - Aluminum Industry Market Value by Region (%), 2006
• Figure 3-1: US - Aluminum Industry Market Value (in Billion US$), 2002-2006
• Figure 3-2: US - Aluminum Industry Market Value by Key Players (%), 2006
• Figure 3-3: US - Aluminum Industry Market Volume (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 3-4: US - Secondary Aluminum Production (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 3-5: US - Share of New & Old Scrap in Recycled Aluminum Production (%), 2006
• Figure 3-6: US - Aluminum Consumption Market by Sectors (%), 2006E
• Figure 3-7: US - Apparent Aluminum Consumption (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006E
• Figure 3-8: North America - Aluminum Content per Light Vehicle (in Pounds), 1990, 2000 & 2006
• Figure 3-9: US - Passenger Car, Light Commercial Vehicle, Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicle Production (in ‘000 Units), 2001-2005
• Figure 3-10: US - Civil Aircraft Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E
• Figure 3-11: US - Military Aircraft Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E
• Figure 3-12: US - Missile Sales (in Billion US$), 2001-2007E
• Figure 3-13: US - Alcoholic Drink Sales Volume (in Billion Liter), 2001-2011F
• Figure 3-14: US - Aluminum Beverages Can Sales (in Billion Units), 1993, 2003 & 2005
• Figure 3-15: US - Refrigerator Sales (in Million Units), 2001-2011F
• Figure 3-16: US - Personal Computer Sales (in Million Units), 2001-2011F
• Figure 3-17: US - Commercial/Industrial Buildings Area (in Million Square Feet), 2002-2006
• Figure 3-18: US - Institutional Buildings Area (in Million Square Feet), 2002-2006
• Figure 4-1: US - Aluminum Import (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006E
• Figure 4-2: US - Aluminum Import by Country (%), Jan-May 2007
• Figure 4-3: US - Aluminum Export (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006E
• Figure 4-4: US - Aluminum Export by Country (%), Jan-May 2007
• Figure 4-5: US - Net Import Reliance of Apparent Consumption (%), 2002-2006E
• Figure 5-1: US - Forecast for Refrigerator & Personal Computer Sales (in Million Units), 2007-2011
• Figure 5-2: US - Employment by Aluminum Industry (in Numbers), 2004-2006E
• Figure 6-1: US - Fuel Costs for Electric Power Industry (in Cents/MMBTU), 1993- 2005
• Figure 6-2: US - Recycling Rate of Aluminum Cans (%), 2000-2005
• Figure 7-1: US - Forecast for Aluminum Industry Market Value (in Billion US$), 2007-2011
• Figure 7-2: US - Forecast for Aluminum Industry Market Volume (in Million Metric Tons), 2007-2011

• Table 3-1: US - Business Cost for Top Aluminum States, 2005
• Table 9-1: Alcoa Inc. - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2005 & 2006
• Table 9-2: Century Aluminum Company - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2005 & 2006
• Table 9-3: Alcan Inc. - Key Financials (in Million USS), 2004-2006
• Table 9-4: Novelis Inc. - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2005 & 2006
• Table 9-5: Aleris International, Inc. - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2003-2006