中国の鉄鋼産業：将来予測（〜2012年）

Abstract

"China Steel Industry Forecast till 2012" is the latest market analysis by RNCOS on the world' s largest steel producer, China' s steel industry. This analysis gives an overview of the global steel industry and discusses the Chinese steel industry in detail, including production and consumption pattern, type of steel products, and major exporting-importing countries. It also studies the growth drivers, opportunities, challenges, and future outlook of the industry.

Market Analysis

China' s steel industry is among the world' s major industries and is registering the fastest growth rate not only in terms of production but consumption also (China is the world' s largest steel consumer). The country expanded its steel-making capacity to meet the demand of its rapidly growing economy. Basically, strong economic growth and cheap production base are the major driving forces for rise in steel consumption.

The steel industry of China has been witnessing phenomenal growth since the last few years. In 2006, total crude steel production in the country reached 422.7 Million Metric Tons. China accounted for approx 34% of total global crude steel demand in 2006. Government support and economic growth is propelling growth in the Chinese steel industry. During the period 2000-2006, demand for steel in China grew at a CAGR of 19.18%.

Key Players Analyzed

This section provides the overview and key financials of players like Shanghai Baosteel Group Corporation, Anshan Iron & Steel Group, Wuhan Iron & Steel, Shougang, Jinan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd., Alison Group etc.

Key Findings

• In the recent past, China has emerged as a major growth driver in the global steel industry.
• China is the top crude steel producing country in the world and accounted for approx 34% of global production in 2006.
• Huge government support in the form of subsidies has fuelled the creation of the world' s largest steel industry.
• High import of flat and long products by China offers great opportunity for global steel players.
• China is the world' s largest steel consumer. Strong economic growth and cheap production base are the major driving forces for growth in steel consumption.
• Over-production and dependency on imported raw material are the biggest challenges that Chinese steel industry needs to tackle for sustained growth in future.

Key Issues & Facts Analyzed

• What are the future growth prospects and opportunities for steel manufacturers in China?
• What are the major challenges and driving forces for Chinese steel industry?
• What are the major steel exporting and importing countries?
• Who are the major competitors in Chinese steel industry?

Research Methodology

Information Sources

Information has been sourced from books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Methods

The analysis method includes ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis.

Table of Contents

1. Analyst View

2. Global Steel Industry - An Overview

3. China Steel Industry - An Overview

4. Why China has become the Top Steel Producer?

• 4.1 Government Subsidies
• 4.2 Sustained GDP Growth
• 4.3 High Steel Production Capacity
• 4.4 Booming Construction Sector
• 4.5 Growing Automotive Industry
• 4.6 Growing Manufacturing Industry
• 4.7 FDI in Manufacturing Industry
• 4.8 Availability of Coke

5. China Steel Industry - Past & Current Scenario

• 5.1 By Production
• 5.2 By Consumption
• 5.3 By Export
• 5.4 By Import

6. China Steel Industry - Future Scenario (2008-2012)

• 6.1 By Production
• 6.2 By Consumption

7. Key Business Prospects for Steel Industry

• 7.1 Construction Sector
• 7.2 Machinery & Equipment Sector
• 7.3 Automotive Industry
• 7.4 Shipbuilding Industry
• 7.5 Export

8. Obstructions for Steel Industry

• 8.1 Dependency on Imported Raw Material
• 8.2 Production Overflow
• 8.3 Barriers to FDI
• 8.4 Import Hurdles
• 8.5 Raw Material Price

9. Key Players

• 9.1 Shanghai Baosteel Group Corporation
• 9.2 Anshan Iron & Steel Group
• 9.3 Wuhan Iron & Steel
• 9.4 Shougang
• 9.5 Maanshan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd.
• 9.6 Tangshan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd.
• 9.7 Jinan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd.
• 9.8 Handan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd.
• 9.9 Alison Group
• 9.10 Angang Steel Co. Ltd.

List of Figures:

• Figure 2-1: Global - Production of Crude Steel (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2006 & H1 2007
• Figure 2-2: Global - Top 10 Steel Producing Companies (in Million Metric Tons), 2006
• Figure 2-3: Global - Top 10 Crude Steel Producing Countries (in Million Metric Tons), 2006
• Figure 2-4: Global - Production of Crude Steel by Region (%), 2006
• Figure 2-5: Global - Consumption of Crude Steel by Region (%), 2006
• Figure 2-6: Global - Top 10 Countries Importing Semi-finished & Finished Steel Products (in Million Metric Tons), 2005
• Figure 2-7: Global - Top 10 Countries Exporting Semi-finished & Finished Steel Products (in Million Metric Tons), 2005
• Figure 3-1: China - Gross Profit of Steel Industry (in Billion Yuan), 2005 & 2006
• Figure 4-1: China - Gross Domestic Product (%), 2002-2006
• Figure 5-1: China - Production of Crude Steel (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2007E
• Figure 5-2: China - Output of Steel Products (in Million Tons), 2005 & 2006
• Figure 5-3: China - Production of Ingots (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-4: China - Production of Continuously-cast Steel (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-5: China - Production of Liquid Steel (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-6: China - Production of Hot Rolled Products (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-7: China - Production of Hot Rolled Long Products (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-8: China - Production of Hot Rolled Flat Products (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-9: China - Production of Railway Track Material (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-10: China - Production of Concrete Reinforcing Bars (in Million Metric Tons), 2003-2005
• Figure 5-11: China - Production of Hot Rolled Bars (in Million Metric Tons), 2003-2005
• Figure 5-12: China - Production of Wire Rods (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-13: China - Production of Electrical Sheet & Strips (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-14: China - Production of Other Metallic Coated Sheet & Strips (in Million Metric Tons), 2003-2005
• Figure 5-15: China - Production of Non-metallic Coated Sheet & Strips (in Million Metric Tons), 2003-2005
• Figure 5-16: China - Production of Tubes & Tube Fitting Strips (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-17: China - Production of Seamless Tubes (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-18: China - Production of Welded Tubes (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-19: China - Apparent Consumption of Steel (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2007E
• Figure 5-20: China - Consumption of Crude Steel (in Million Tons), 2001-2007E
• Figure 5-21: China - Export of Steel by Type of Product (%), 2006
• Figure 5-22: China - Export of Steel by Type of Product (in Million Tons), 2006
• Figure 5-23: China - Export of Steel Products (in Million Tons), 2000-2007E
• Figure 5-24: China - Export of Semi-finished & Finished Steel Products (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-25: China - Export of Finished Steel by Type of Product (%), 2005
• Figure 5-26: China - Export of Scrap Steel (in ‘000 Tons), 2004-2006
• Figure 5-27: China - Export of Wire Steel (in Million Tons), 2004-2006
• Figure 5-28: China - Export of Plate & Sheet Steel (in Million Tons), 2004-2006
• Figure 5-29: China - Export of Anglers & Forged Steel (in Million Tons), 2004-2006
• Figure 5-30: China - Export of Steel Billets (in Million Tons), 2004-2006
• Figure 5-31: China - Export of Rolled Steel (in Million Tons), 2004-2006
• Figure 5-32: China - Export of Steel Product by Country (%), 2006
• Figure 5-33: China - Export of Steel Product by Country (in Million Tons), 2006
• Figure 5-34: China - Import of Steel by Type of Product (%), 2006
• Figure 5-35: China - Import of Steel by Type of Product (in Million Tons), 2006
• Figure 5-36: China - Import of Steel Products (in Million Tons), 2000-2006
• Figure 5-37: China - Import of Semi-finished & Finished Steel Products (in Million Metric Tons), 2000-2005
• Figure 5-38: China - Import of Finished Steel by Type of Product (%), 2005
• Figure 5-39: China - Import of Scrap Steel (in Million Tons), 2004-2006 & H1 2007
• Figure 5-40: China - Import of Rolled Steel (in Million Tons), 2004-2006 & H1 2007
• Figure 5-41: China - Import of Steel Plate (in Million Tons), 2004-2006 & H1 2007
• Figure 5-42: China - Import of Steel Products by Country (%), 2006
• Figure 5-43: China - Import of Steel Products by Country (in Million Tons), 2006
• Figure 6-1: China - Forecast for Production of Crude Steel (in Million Metric Tons), 2008-2012
• Figure 6-2: China - Forecast for Consumption of Crude Steel (in Million Metric Tons), 2008-2012
• Figure 6-3: China - Forecast for Apparent Consumption of Steel (in Million Metric Tons), 2008 & 2009
• Figure 8-1: China - Import of Iron Ore (in Million Tons), 2003-2006

List of Tables:

• Table 2-1: Global - Production of Crude Steel by Region (in Million Metric Tons), 2006
• Table 2-2: Global - Average* Growth in Production of Steel (%), 1970-75 to 2000-05 & 2005-06
• Table 2-3: Global - Export of Steel by Type of Product (in Million Metric Tons), 2001-2005
• Table 9-1: Shanghai Baosteel Group Corporation - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006
• Table 9-2: Wuhan Iron & Steel - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006
• Table 9-3: Maanshan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006
• Table 9-4: Tangshan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006
• Table 9-5: Jinan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2005 & 2006
• Table 9-6: Handan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006
• Table 9-7: Angang Steel Co. Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006